Karnataka Bank Founder’s Day Lecture

Challenges Before the Indian Banking System

by

Dr. C. Rangarajan

Chairman, Economic Advisory Council to the Prime Minister

 

February 18, 2007

Mangalore

 

It gives me great pleasure to be in your midst this evening and to deliver the Founders’ Day Lecture of the Karnataka Bank in this beautiful city of Mangalore.  Established in 1924, Karnataka Bank over the last 82 years has grown from a tiny beginning to become a Bank of respectable size with a customer-friendly face.  This is an appropriate occasion to express our gratitude to the Founders of the Bank whose vision successive managements have tried to fulfill.  The financial position of the Karnataka bank is strong.  Its capital adequate ratio is well above the norm prescribed by the Reserve Bank of India.  Through maintaining a reasonable level of profitability, it has stood well by its shareholders.  The Bank has built up a good technology platform. The Bank is known for its emphasis on customer service.  Its credit portfolio is well balanced with a significant rural orientation.  I wish to congratulate the Chairman and his colleagues on the excellent performance of the Bank.

 

In any economy, the financial sector plays a major role in the mobilization and allocation of savings. Financial institutions, instruments and markets which constitute the financial sector act as a conduit for the transfer of financial resources from net savers to net borrowers, i.e. from those who spend less then they earn to those who earn less then they spend.

 

The financial sector performs this basic economic function of intermediation essential through four transformation mechanisms:

liability asset transformation (i.e. accepting deposits as a liability and converting them into assets such as loans);

size transformation (i.e. providing large loans on the basis of numerous small deposits);

maturity transformation (i.e. offering saver alternative forms of deposits according to their liquidity preferences while providing borrowers with loans of desired maturities); and

risk transformation (i.e. distributing risk through diversification which substantially reduces risks for savers which would prevail while lending directly in the absence of financial intermediation).

 

The process of financial intermediation supports increasing capital accumulation through the institutionalization of savings and investment and, thereby, fosters economic growth. The gains to the real sector of the economy, therefore, depend on how efficiently the financial sector performs this basic function of financial intermediation.

 

Structural reforms in areas such as industrial and trade policy can succeed only, if resources are redeployed towards more efficient producers, which are encouraged to expand under the new policies.  This reallocation is possible only if the financial system plays a crucial supportive role. The reforms in the banking sector and in the capital markets are aimed precisely at achieving this primary objective.

 

The ongoing financial sector reform programme aims at promoting a diversified, efficient and competitive financial sector with the ultimate objective of improving the allocative efficiency of available resources, increasing the return on investments and promoting an accelerated growth of the real sector of the economy.

 

More specifically, the financial sector reform programme seeks to achieve the following :

Suitable modifications in the policy framework within which various components of the financial system operate, such as freeing of interest rates, reduction in the levels of resource pre-emptions and improving the effectiveness of directed credit programmes;

 

Improvement in the financial health and competitive capabilities by means of prescription of prudential norms, recapitalisation of banks; restructuring of weaker banks, allowing entry of new banks and generally improving the incentive system under which banks function;

 

Building an appropriate infrastructure relating to supervision, audit, technology and the legal framework; and

 

Upgradation of the level of managerial competence and the quality of human resource of banks by reviewing the policies relating to recruitment, training and placement.

 

The first stage of the banking sector reform has come to an end and we are now in the next stage of the reform and development.  In the years to come, the Indian financial system will grow not only in size but also in complexity as the forces of competition gain further momentum and as the financial markets acquire greater width and depth.  While the policy environment will have to remain supportive of healthy growth and development with an accent on greater operational flexibility as well as greater prudential regulation and supervision, the thrust of the second phase of reform would have to be on improvement in the organizational effectiveness of banks and other financial entities.

 

The financial sector of India, as a whole, exhibits vibrancy and resilience.  Our banking sector reforms have been unique.  It has been able to bring about fundamental changes in the banking system in a non-disruptive manner.  Judged by the creation of capital adequacy, provisioning and profitability in the Indian banking system is in a strong position.  The capital position of the Indian banks has improved significantly over the past decade.  Since 1995-96, the banking sector, on the whole, has been maintaining CRAR consistently well above the minimum stipulated norm.  Overall CRAR for all scheduled commercial banks has increased from 8.7 per cent at the end-March 1996 to 12.3 percent at the end-March 2006.  The performance of the banks in reducing their non-performing assets has also been equally encouraging.  The gross NPAs of all scheduled commercial banks declined from 15.7 per cent of gross advances at the end-March 1997 to 3.3 percent at the end-March 2006.  The net NPA to net advances ratio also declined from 8.1 per cent to 2.1 per cent during the same period.  The financial performance of the scheduled commercial banks has also improved in recent years.  The operating profit to asset ratio of the scheduled commercial banks, which was 1.69 per cent in 1995-96, touched a peak of 2.66 per cent in 2003-04.  Thereafter, the ratio declined to 2.03 per cent in 2005-06.  Hardening of interest rates in the past two years have affected the performing profit and net profit of the scheduled commercial banks.  The banking sector has thus become robust over the years.

 

In meeting the challenges of tomorrow, the financial sector, and more particularly, the banking system, must respond to the changes in the real sector.  In this context, one can point to four important facets of the changes occurring in the Indian economy –

The service sector is rapidly expanding.  Today, it accounts for nearly half of the GDP;

The external sector is also growing, constituting as much as 30 per cent of the GDP today;

The economy has moved on to a higher growth trajectory, and to be sustained, this would require increasing investments in infrastructure; and,

Despite the faster rate of growth of manufacturing and service sectors, bulk of the population still depends on agriculture and allied activities for its livelihood.

 

Going by the experiences of commercial banks in other countries, the following trends may tend to dominate the future course of banking development in India:

greater specialization by banks in different niches of the market such as retail, agriculture, export and the small-scale and corporate sector;

greater reliance on non-fund business such as advisory and consultancy services, guarantee and custody services;

greater overlap in product coverage between commercial banks and non-bank financial intermediaries; and

greater financial disintermediation with large companies accessing securitised debt domestically and from financial markets abroad.

 

Banks have to prepare themselves to grapple with these challenges and convert them into opportunities which calls for critical introspection and intelligent anticipation. In this regard, several imperatives merit attention:

 

Banks would have to move away from excessive concentration on asset management and adopt a more general approach of asset-liability management aimed at modifying their liability structure in consonance with the desired assets structure.  This entails a continuous process of planning, organizing and controlling assets-liability volumes, maturities, rates and yields. It is essential for banks to understand the growing interdependence of various market segments, and to develop the necessary expertise for forecasting the relevant variables taking into account this interdependence.

 

Management of credit risks would have to be accorded a very high priority. This is an area which has received considerable attention in recent years. The new Basle Accord rests on the assumption that an internal assessment of risks by a financial institution will be a better measure than an externally imposed formula. The economic structure is undergoing a change. The service sector has emerged as a major sector. Assessing credit risks in lending to service sectors needs a methodology different from risk assessment in lending to manufacturing. There are other emerging areas of lending such as Housing and Consumer Credit, which will need new approaches.

 

Equally important will be the area of management of exchange risk. Besides enabling customers to adopt appropriate exchange cover, banks themselves will have to ensure that their exposure is within acceptable risk.

 

Banks would have to equip themselves to operate in a deregulated interest rate environment. As banks would be increasingly subject to interest rate risk with fluctuation in the interest rate, special attention would have to be given to developing the necessary treasury management expertise while managing their investment portfolios.

 

A significant improvement in customer service by banks can no longer be ignored.  In a competitive environment, banks, which provide poor customer service, will find themselves losing their clients. In this regard, there is a paramount need for banks to put in place appropriate corporate strategies, depending upon the nature of their clientele.

 

Finally, the housekeeping issues within would have to be addressed in a proactive and innovative manner.  Computerisation and overall upgradation of technology, rationalization of branch structure and staffing, reduction of costs, inculcating greater degree of professionalism and improvement in productivity must receive their due attention regularly in the functioning of banks.

 

The last two decades have been rocked by periodic financial crises. These bouts of financial instability within individual countries and across countries have compelled policy makers to pay attention to the problem of predicting, preventing and managing financial crises. As part of the crisis prevention initiatives, the Financial Stability Forum was set up in 1999, which has since become a   nodal   agency for setting up standards and codes.  Detailed standards and codes for 12 core areas have been developed and are being continuously supplemented by the respective standard-setting bodies.

 

India has been actively involved in implementing these standards. As Indian banks get active in the global scene, it is important that our standards converge towards internationally accepted standards. Then only our banks can gain credibility and acceptability.

 

In conclusion, I would like to stress on 3 or 4 issues.

 

First is improvement in customer service.  Banks exist to provide service to customers.  With the introduction of technology, there has been a significant change in the way banks operate.  This is a far cry from the situation that existed even 15 years ago.  The induction of technology has enabled several transactions to be processed in a shorter period of time.  Transmission of funds to customers takes less time now.  ATMs provide easy access to cash.  Nevertheless, it is not very clear whether the customers are fully satisfied with the services provided when they come to a bank.  This is an area, which must receive continuous attention.  The interface with the customers needs to improve. 

 

Provision of credit is a basic function of banks.  The effective discharge of this function is part of the intermediation process.  The sectoral deployment of credit must keep pace with the changes in the structure of the economy.  The banking industry in India must equip itself to be able to assess and meet the credit needs of the emerging segments of the economy.  In this context, two aspects require special attention.

 

First, as the Indian economy gets increasingly integrated with the rest of the world, the demands of the corporate sector for banking services will change not only in size but also in composition and quality. The growing foreign trade in goods and services will have to be financed. Apart from production credit, financing capital requirements from the cheapest sources will become necessary. Provision of credit in foreign currency will require in turn a management of foreign exchange risk. Thus, the provision of a whole gamut of services related to integration with the rest of the world will be a challenge. Foreign banks operating in India will be the competitors to Indian banks in this regard. The foreign banks have access to much larger resources and have presence in many parts of the world. Therefore, Indian banks will have to evolve appropriate strategies in enabling Indian firms to accessing funds at competitive rates. Another aspect of global financial strategy relates to the presence of Indian banks in foreign countries. Indian banks will have to be selective in this regard. Here again the focus may be on how to help Indian firms acquire funds at internationally competitive rates and how to promote trade and investment between India and other countries. We must recognize that in foreign sectors, Indian banks will be relatively smaller players.

 

Second, despite the faster rate of growth of manufacturing and service sectors, bulk of the population still depends on agriculture and allied activities for its livelihood.  In this background, one cannot over-emphasize the need for expanding credit to agricultural and allied activities.  While banks have achieved a higher growth in provision of credit to agriculture and allied activities last year, this momentum has to be carried further.  In this context, it has to be noted that credit for agriculture is not a single market. Provision of credit for high-tech agriculture is no different from providing credit to industry. Provision of credit to farmers with a surplus is also of similar nature.  Commercial banks in particular must have no hesitation in providing credit to these segments where the normal calculation of risk and return applies. It is only with respect to provision of credit to small and marginal farmers, special attention is required.  They constitute a bulk of the farmers, which account for a significant proportion of the total output.

 

The National Sample Survey Organization has recently released a Report entitled, “Indebtedness of Farmer Households”.  This Report contains a wealth of data relating to the extent and nature of indebtedness.  One stunning fact that emerges is that there is a substantial difference between marginal and sub-marginal farmers on the one hand and the rest of the farmer households on the other regarding the purpose for which loans are obtained and the sources of credit.  For all farmer households taken together, at the all-India level, institutional sources were responsible for providing 57.5 per cent of the total credit.  But as far as farmer households owning one hectare and less, this proportion is only 39.6 per cent.  For all farmer households, the proportion of loan going for production purposes is 65.1 per cent as against 40.2 per cent for marginal and sub-marginal farmer households.  Thus, for sub-marginal and marginal farmers, the proportion of production loan is lower than for all farmers.  Similarly, the proportion of institutional credit is lower for sub-marginal and marginal farmers than for all farmers.  This, in fact, is true of every state of the country.  Thus, a critical issue is how to meet the credit requirements of marginal and sub-marginal farmers.  What changes do we need to introduce so that credit can flow to this class of farmer households?  Can the banking system through its present mode of distribution of credit meet this challenge?  Should we think in terms of banks supporting other institutions who are in a better position to lend to marginal and sub-marginal farmers?  In any case, a re-look at the organizational structure of our rural branches is called for.  Banks need to think deeply on how to meet this challenge of meeting the credit needs of marginal farmers.  The financial inclusion is no longer an option; it is a compulsion.

 

In recent years, size has become an important issue. It is being argued that on account of increased competitive pressures and the requirement of heavy investment in IT, small banks may not be able to survive. It is argued that smaller institutions simply would not have resources to introduce either new products or new delivery channels. Corporates may also prefer for one-stop shopping given their diverse requirements.  This would mean that only bigger banks may survive in a competitive environment.  In fact, there has been an increasing trend towards consolidation in recent years the world over.

 

 The Committee on Banking Sector Reforms (CBSR) chaired by Shri M. Narasimham, which submitted its report in 1998, looked into the issues relating to the structure of the banking industry in India in the context of the current national and international environment. The Committee observed that the global trend in banking is marked by the twin phenomena of consolidation and convergence. The increase in competition requires banks to attain meaningful balance sheet sizes and market shares as also to adopt new and sophisticated risk management tools. It is essential for banks to increase their size for investing in certain new areas emerging in the wake of progress in information technology and modern communication. In the changing economic scenario, the banks need to diversify their services and products as also cover the customers across globe. Thus, from all the perspectives, size is regarded as a major source of strength.

 

This does not, however, suggest that the smaller banks will have no future. The actual experience also suggests that small banks even in advanced countries have been able to survive and remain profitable.  For instance, there has been massive consolidation in the US during last 25 years or so (there are about 7600 commercial banks in America today as compared with about 13,000 operating in 1980), However, in the US, community banks, that is, banks with assets of US $ 1 billion or less, continue to experience financial success and attract capital from the market.  In European countries also there are a large number of relatively small, and often locally or regionally based banks. These banks have survived along with very large financial conglomerates. This would suggest that the size as such is not the main issue.  The key issue is whether the bank is operating efficiently.

 

There is some evidence to suggest that banks of different sizes having different portfolio and cost structures behave differently. These differences suggest that small banks may be the more natural lenders to small businesses. Large banks may not like to deal with small borrowers, who may be driven to small banks.   Also, some customers value personalised services, which small banks may be in a better position to provide.  Small banks also have much lower deposit volatility, and hence, less need for liquidity.  A major challenge for small banks, however, is to manage a large number of transactions of low value.  They need to have clear understanding of customer needs and provide them an ease of transacting a business at low cost and in a flexible manner. They also need to provide convenient access to their clients. Thus, although in the coming years there may be an increasing trend towards consolidation, it is felt that efficient small banks could survive alongside large and diversified financial institutions.

 

The process of consolidation has also been taking place in India. Since 1990, 19 mergers have taken place in the commercial banking sector. Moreover, with a view to improving the operational viability of RRBs, merger/amalgamation of RRBs has been implemented at the initiative of the Government of India since September 2005. Consequently, 137 RRBs were amalgamated to form 43 new RRBs, sponsored by 18 banks in 15 States, bringing down the total number of RRBs all over India to 102, from 196 in March 2005. Bank mergers have taken place in India mostly with the objective to synergise the strength of the merging institutions.

 

Notwithstanding the increased process of consolidation of banks in India, a large number of small and medium sized banks continue to operate successfully. The performance of many smaller sized banks in terms of profitability and non-performing assets has been comparable with large banks.

 

Success is not the synonyms with bigness.  Small banks can be successful and can create a niche for themselves, as Karnataka Bank has shown.  By meeting the local needs more effectively, Karnataka Bank can continue to grow stronger.  The vision of the Founders must continue to inspire the Bank.

 

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